Open-Earth-Monitor Global Workshop 2026

Understanding Vegetation–Climate Relationships Using GeoAI: A Spatiotemporal Analysis in the Ebro River Basin
2026-10-07, 15:30–15:45 (Europe/Amsterdam), Aula Magna

Vegetation in terrestrial ecosystems plays a key role in the carbon cycle, and understanding its spatiotemporal patterns and associated drivers is crucial for ecological research. This study explores the relations between remote sensing vegetation Gross Primary Production (GPP) and climate explanatory variables such as the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and soil moisture anomalies (SMA).

The study focused on the climatically diverse Ebro River basin (85,600 km²), Spain's river largest catchment, using monthly data from 2016 to 2024. The area is bounded between the three meteorological domains of this region of SW Europe: Atlantic, European continental and Mediterranean.

During the processing phase, harmonized monthly products at 1 km spatial resolution were generated from multiple satellite and in-situ sources. GPP was aggregated from the MOD17A2HGF product, SPEI was derived in-situ meteorological data (Trypidaki et al 2024) by AEMET, and monthly SMA were computed from Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data using a dual-polarization algorithm (DPA) (Fan et al. 2025).

We explore vegetation–climate relationships using correlation and GeoAI ML approaches, including Random Forest (caret R package) and Accumulated Local Effects (ALEPlots R package) between GPP and climate variables. Model stability and variable importance were evaluated using multiple metrics.

Our findings highlight the potential, requirements and limitations of GeoAI tools compared to classical statistical methods, in handling nonlinear relationships and multicollinearity.

References:

Fan, D., Zhao, T., Jiang, X., García-García, A., Schmidt, T., Samaniego, L., Attinger, S., Wu, H., Jiang, Y., Shi, J., Fan, L., Tang, B.-H., Wagner, W., Dorigo, W., Gruber, A., Mattia, F., Balenzano, A., Brocca, L., Jagdhuber, T., … Peng, J. (2025). A Sentinel-1 SAR-based global 1-km resolution soil moisture data product: Algorithm and preliminary assessment. Remote Sensing of Environment, 318, 114579. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2024.114579

Trypidaki E., Pesquer L., Domingo-Marimon C, "Spatiotemporal Analysis for Enhanced Drought Monitoring and Agricultural Applications in the Ebro Basin, Spain," 2024 IEEE International Workshop on Metrology for Agriculture and Forestry (MetroAgriFor), Padua, Italy, 2024, pp. 603-608, https://doi.org/10.1109/MetroAgriFor63043.2024.10948835


What is your current associations to EU Horizon projects (if any)?

Open-Earth-Monitor Cyberinfrastructure (Grant agreement ID: 101059548)

Eirini Trypidaki is a predoctoral Researcher at CREAF and member of the Methods and Applications in Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Systems (GRUMETS) research group.

Her work focuses on the development and refinement of methodologies for high-resolution drought monitoring, with an emphasis on advancing the operational use of environmental data.

This research is closely aligned with the objectives of the Open Earth Monitor (OEMP) project and highlights the practical applications of high-resolution Earth observation in sectors such as agriculture, insurance, and reinsurance.